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#peakoil

2 posts1 participant0 posts today
Public
Miss Gayle

PODCAST:
The Mad Scramble for Power: Global Superpowers’ Strategies for Energy, Economics, and War.

"If you wanna understand why the geopolitical fragmentation is going on...we're sort of in a race to the bottom to get what's left [of oil reserves in the ground]."

Link: resilience.org/stories/2025-03

PDF Transcript: static1.squarespace.com/static

The Mad Scramble for Power: Global Superpowers’ Strategies for Energy, Economics, and War Nate Hagens, originally published by The Great Simplification March 24, 2025 In this discussion, Nate is joined by Art Berman, Michael Every, and Izabella Kaminska for a broad exploration of the complex relationship between energy, geopolitics, and economic strategy. Screenshot of three men and one woman in a zoom meeting. Show Summary The rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape of recent years can be hard to follow. With economic conflicts between global superpowers and violent clashes across multiple continents, today’s events can seem starkly different from the trajectory of past decades. So, how can a deeper understanding of energy and resource security help us make sense of these chaotic trends? Together, the [speakers] provide valuable insights into the consequences of deindustrialization, the impact of military spending, and the urgent need to reassess strategies as resources dwindle and geopolitical tensions rise. How is the use of fear as a political tool intertwined with the challenges of trust and disinformation in navigating turbulent international conflicts? What role is the race for Artificial General Intelligence and Quantum Computing playing in these rapidly changing situations? And ultimately, what should we, as citizens, be expecting from our leaders at the global stage as the struggle for power in the 21st century continues to intensify?
#Resources#Economy#Energy
Public
Miss Gayle

Peak Oil never went away. There are no large undiscovered pockets of light sweet crude out there, and the oil produced by fracking is essentially highly contaminated sludge.

The price of gasoline & plastics will continue to go up, as reserves are drawn down & processing costs continue to climb.

Inevitably, ordinary people will be priced out of being able to buy gas for their cars. There's no avoiding it.

resilience.org/stories/2025-01

Only So Much Oil in the Ground… or Gas for that Matter Chris Rhodes, originally published by Energy Balance January 29, 2025 A critical component strategy for creating a viable future energy system and addressing climate change, must surely be energy demand reduction (minimisation), e.g. through relocalisation, retrofitting buildings, local food growing, and reducing waste, to curb the size of resource [very much plural] demands, get us below overshoot & avoid collapse (if we can). Teaser image credit: The zero heating library in Nord Odal, Norway (2020). By Alek14 – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=98483674 The situation will be worsened by the rapidly declining Energy Return on Investment (EROI) for gas & oil liquids which will result in “energy cannibalism”, with less net energy being available for society, as more is consumed by the production of harder to get, diminishing resources... Meanwhile, shale gas plays may have begun to decline, even as the U.S. is now the world’s largest producer of natural gas & its greatest LNG exporter. ...One day we will run out of oil, it is not today or tomorrow, but one day we will run out of oil and we have to leave oil before oil leaves us, and we have to prepare ourselves for that day. The earlier we start, the better, because all of our economic & social system is based on oil, so to change from that will take a lot of time & a lot of money and we should take this issue very seriously.
#FossilFuels#Sustainability#Energy
Replied in thread
Public
kali

so with all of this being said, there are some people, i am not one of them, but some say that all the effort necessary, which requires energy to extract energy, as we used up the easy, cheap stuff first, will become so massive that it is not worth anymore to do it and that this will ultimately lead to civilizational collapse.

#limitstogrowth
#overshoot
#climatechange
#peakoil
#collapse
#collapseology
#sustainability
#resilience

Replied in thread
Public *
kali

permeability is not the only problem with getting oil and gas out of the ground. there are many other mining technologies witch have only come up relatively recently, all of them are expensive & extremely invasive to the environment. the overall scheme is that we always seem to exploit the easy-to-access resources first. and that is a precautionary tale for all other finite resources.

#limitstogrowth
#overshoot
#climatechange
#peakoil
#collapse
#collapseology
#sustainability
#resilience

Replied in thread
Public *
kali

so what is going on with these tight formations? in conventional reservoirs the oil is held in large areas of high-permeability, high porosity rock by close to impermeable cap rock. tight formations are different from that. they trap the hydrocarbons in tiny spaces and they are not going anywhere unless the required permeability is artificially created, meaning #fracking

#limitstogrowth
#overshoot
#climatechange
#peakoil
#collapse
#collapseology
#sustainability
#resilience

Replied in thread
Public *
kali

well, obviously this didn't happen. not bc hubberts math was wrong, but bc of 3 technological advancements in exploration technology, which allowed humans to access previously uneconomic hydrocarbon reservoir types, also known as tight formations. you can see how this plays out looking at US production. non-tight formations, so called "conventional oil" in the US have peaked in the 70s.

#limitstogrowth
#overshoot
#climatechange
#peakoil
#collapse
#collapseology
#sustainability
#resilience

Replied in thread
Public
kali

in 1974 marion king hubbert, a shell geologist and geophysicist, for the first time in human history started to study the decline of oil reservoirs. his hypothesis: if single wells production follows a certain curve, then single oil fields, countries, and ultimately the world must behave the same. based on this line of thinking he predicted that world oil supply would peak in 1995.

#limitstogrowth
#overshoot
#climatechange
#peakoil
#collapse
#collapseology
#sustainability
#resilience

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